⛅ ‿ Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts torrenting sites ⛏ By Annie Duke ⛲

⛅  ‿ Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts torrenting sites ⛏ By Annie Duke ⛲ ⛅ ‿ Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts torrenting sites ⛏ By Annie Duke ⛲ Poker champion turned business consultant Annie Duke teaches you how to get comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions as a result. In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history With 26 seconds remaining, and trailing by four at the Patriots one yard line, he called for a pass instead of a handing off to his star running back The pass was intercepted, and the Seahawks lost Critics called it the dumbest play in history But was the call really that bad Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck Even the best decision doesn t yield the best outcome every time There s always an element of luck that you can t control, and there is always information that is hidden from view So the key to long term success and avoiding worrying yourself to death is to think in bets How sure am I What are the possible ways things could turn out What decision has the highest odds of success Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and of course poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions For most people, it s difficult to say I m not sure in a world that values, and even rewards, the appearance of certainty But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don t always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don t always lead to bad outcomes. By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don t, you ll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making You ll become confident, calm, compassionate, and successful in the long run. Includes a bonus PDF of charts and graphs Thinking in Bets Making Smarter Decisions When You Don t Annie Duke is a World Series of Poker bracelet winner, the winner Tournament Champions and only woman to win NBC National Heads Up Championship Thinking Have All Facts Kindle edition by Download it once read on your device, PC The Arena for Accountable Predictions Long Bets The purpose improve long term thinking public arena enjoyably competitive predictions, interest society, with philanthropic money at stake Long Now Foundation Wikipedia Foundation, established , an American public, non profit organization based San Francisco that seeks become seed very cultural institutionIt aims provide counterpoint what views as today s faster cheaper mindset promote slower better hopes creatively foster responsibility Big Online Casino Reliable Casino Big fully Licensed Regulated UK Gaming Commission responsible gaming utmost importance us Best Sports Betting Sites SBD Top Rated Sportsbooks We ve uncovered top sports betting web sites Compare online gambling get biggest bonus, fastest payouts have best all around experience Meet Peter Sims Entrepreneur, author, social innovator founder CEO Parliament, inc accidental BLK SHP His latest book Little How Breakthrough Ideas Emerge from Small Discoveries Nick Dandolos Early life was son wealthy parents He attended Greek Evangelical College earned degree philosophyWhen he years old, his grandfather sent him USA allowance per week Although settled down Chicago eventually moved Montreal where began horse races known throughout Art Deal ghostwriter predicts Trump will resign CNN Aug Art thinks President Donald call quits In Daniel got Nobel Prize pioneering work Amos Tversky behavioral economics book, Thinking, Slow, summarizing psychological research, became international sellerAnnie Anne LaBarr ne Lederer September professional poker player author She holds WSOP gold used be leading among women history title now held Vanessa SelbstDuke AnnieDuke Twitter Tweets Speaker writer student decision science Author ThinkinginBets I play Navigating uncertainty Less no More don know Wall Street Journal An elegant fusion table street smarts cognitive insights This make you both shrewder wiser game Home Facebook experienced corporate speaker consultant behavior decisio IMDb born Concord, New Hampshire, actress, Numbrs Girls Guide Texas Hold em Beginners previously married Ben annie duke has leveraged her expertise smart making excel pursuits varied championship speaking Negreanu Rips Hall Fame Nomination this year list nominees Las Vegas, inclusion which Negreanu takes serious exception Improving Decision EP Ted Seides renown strategist For two decades, she one players world, including winning million take Will Beat Your Own Game Yorker Late last year, wrote Duke, former player, about possibility profiling who female Poker champ how decisions Watch videoOnce world renowned learned firsthand quick decisions, career transitions 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    • Kindle
    • B078SBSBW3
    • Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
    • Annie Duke
    • English
    • 2016-05-14T03:44+02:00